Showing posts with label Jayson Tatum. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jayson Tatum. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

2014 Scouting Reports On NBA Draft Prospects

Almost three years ago, some of the top 16 and 17 year-old high school players gathered in Colorado Springs for the USA U17 tryouts. There was talent galore in the gym with the likes of Malik Monk, Dennis Smith, and TJ Leaf all getting cut. Two players from that team were drafted in Henry Ellenson and Diamond Stone and now six more are expected to hear their name called Thursday night. Here are my notes from three years ago on: 
  • Jayson Tatum
  • Josh Jackson
  • Harry Giles
  • Caleb Swanigan
  • Terrance Ferguson
  • Ivan Rabb
Jayson Tatum:

Strengths: 
Giles-Tatum talking about college
Standing at 6’7” and probably still growing, there isn’t a whole lot that Jayson Tatum can’t do on the basketball court. While he is the second youngest player on the team, Tatum is the most skilled from an offensive stand point. Not just on the USA team though, in all of high school basketball. He is comfortable playing point guard (and will probably handle the ball a fair amount for Team USA) and on the wing. Tatum also uses both his strong (right) and weak hand (left) interchangeably while dribbling or finishing shots in the paint. He likes to take advantage of miss-matches and can post up smaller defenders and either shoot over them or hit a fade-away. He can drive by slower defenders and finish at the rim or pull-up from 15 feet as well. Tatum dominated AAU at the 16U level last year and averaged 18.9 points in the 17U EYBL this year. Tatum came off the bench for Team USA last year, but he will definitely be one of the focal points this year. 

Weaknesses: 
Strength and shooting are the focal points even though he’s already shown improvements in both areas from his freshman to sophomore season. Tatum has a thin frame, but he has definitely put on muscle in his upper body and will continue to do so over the next two years. The only time I’ve seen Tatum bothered on the offensive end, was when a team put a strong and athletic 6’5” wing on him who tried to rough him up. Tatum still did what he wanted, but had to work a little harder than he was accustomed to. As for shooting, Tatum shot just 28% from three and 42% from the field in the EYBL. During the USA tryouts he was draining three’s from the international line on the first night and continues to improve in this area. One other note, he does not exhibit freakish athleticism like some players but with his height, guard skills, and offensive repertoire it isn’t easy for anyone to slow him down. 

Josh Jackson:

Strengths: 
A top 5 player in the junior class, Jackson is a smooth and skilled wing (although almost one year older than Giles and Tatum). Last year he averaged 11.4 points and 5.6 rebounds in just under 20 minutes a game during USA play. Athletic with a good first step, Jackson is the prototypical wing at the next level. He is very strong in one on one situations and can use his left to right spin move to finish aggressively at the rim. He can break people down off the dribble and is tough to stop once he gets in the lane. Jackson is the type of player that likes to get up and down the court for high flying dunks, but he also uses his length and quickness to lock down defenders on the wing. 

Weaknesses: 
For all his talent, Jackson has a tendency to blend in more than he should. At times you can forget that he is on the floor as he can float from offense to defense aimlessly without making an impact several minutes at a time. His jump shot is also a work in progress. He shot just 2-15 from three during the Under Armour Finals in July, but was very effective from inside the paint. Jackson has the tools and just needs to stay aggressive to fulfill his talents while continuing to hone his jump shot to turn into a threat from all areas on the court.  

Harry Giles:

Strengths: 
Giles is the best pro prospect on the USA team although he still has a way to go before being fully healthy again. After starting two games last year in the FIBA Americas, Giles tore his ACL and missed his entire sophomore season. He returned to the court in May and the beginning months were rough as he tried to return to the player he was as a freshman. After looking tepid during the first USA tryout, Giles suddenly started flashing the skill-set that made him the No. 1 player in his class. With a 7’2” wing span, Giles started throwing down vicious one and two hand dunks in traffic. Giles noted he is at about 90% right now and he is still lacking that quick first step; however, he is able to play in isolation from 15 feet out or in the post. His jump shot is still a work in progress but he can hit off the dribble, from mid-range, and the three point line on occasion. With his length and athleticism, Giles resembles a player in the Chris Webber mode. While not the passer Webber was, his aura on the court is similar. It is going to take time for Giles to fully trust his knee, but when that time comes he could reclaim his top spot in the class of 2016. Oh yeah, he is also the youngest player on the team. 

Weaknesses: 
Getting healthy and working on the outside shot. Right now, Giles is still gaining confidence in his movements. An ACL tear takes time to come back from, but Giles is getting more confident as the days go by. Once his first step improves and he regains a little bit more of his athleticism Giles will be tough for any opposing big to guard. As noted above, Giles hit several outside jump shots in the tryouts although he miss-fired badly on a few as well. He has the range and touch to stretch the defense but needs to continue to hone his form and release going forward. While coming off a knee injury, he lacks vertical explosiveness.

Caleb Swanigan:

Strengths: 
A late addition to the USA tryout roster, Swanigan quickly made a name for himself and earned a coveted spot on the 12-man team. The big man out of Indiana brings a toughness to Team USA and isn’t afraid to get his hands dirty. In the first four tryouts, Swanigan was often seen man handling taller big men down low. He did his best work on the offensive glass and after grabbing the board, Swanigan usually used his upper body mass to get the defender underneath the rim and effectively out of the play. He knows he is a beast down low and doesn’t stray from his bread and butter after leading the EYBL in rebounds with 11.9 per game. While not an outside scorer, Swanigan did show a nice touch and soft feet throughout the drill work in tryouts. 

Weaknesses: 
At 6’7” / 6’8”, Swanigan could stand to have another inch or two, although his 7’1.5” inch wing span sometimes makes up for that fact. While he dominated the boards and often scored on put-backs he also got blocked when going straight up a fair amount. When long defenders are in his face he has a hard time scoring without moving them out of the way. While it’s great that Swanigan knows his strengths he will need to improve his face-up ability and propensity to turn the ball over in the post going forward. 

Terrance Ferguson:

Strengths: 
Another repeat member on the USA team, Ferguson is a long and lean 6’6” with a solid shooting stroke. He excels in the mid-range whether it is a shot off the catch or off the dribble. He gets good elevation and with his long arms and he can usually extend above the defender. His elbows are locked in tight and his misses are usually short or long (a sign of a good shooter per Larry Bird). He has range beyond the international three point line even though his percentages would suggest otherwise. There was a lack of pure shooters at the USA tryouts and many observers thought that Ferguson might have the nicest stroke of them all. Ferguson is a strong run and jump athlete although his forays to the basket are usually limited to highlight dunks on fast breaks. Ferguson came off the bench last year for the USA team and will do so again this year looking to become the zone buster for team USA. 

Weaknesses: 

Ferguson is a strong shooter, but he is also trying to develop other parts of his game such as his ball handling and slashing abilities. With an increased handle, Ferguson will be able to do more damage than just pull-up jump shots. Also, at just 170 pounds Ferguson can get tossed around by defenders that are stronger or more aggressive. Ferguson has a good tool set to work with and can become a dangerous player off the bench in Dubai, but needs to continue to focus on getting stronger and turning into more than a jump shooter and dunker on the break. 

Ivan Rabb:
Strengths: 
Using an NBA comparison, I would compare Rabb to a younger Chris Bosh (Updated note: YIKES), although Rabb is a bit shorter at 6’10” and a 7’1” wing span. Last year Rabb started three games on the U16 team and led it in rebounding at 9.8 per game. Rabb is a lean big man that can often get pushed around down low due to his lack of weight, but on the offensive end he can finish with either hand. A natural righty, it isn’t uncommon to see Rabb hit shots with his left hand outside of the paint. He can handle the ball adequately and likes to sprint the floor on the break. Rabb can also hit a 12-15 foot jump shot, although his consistency remains a question. He grabbed (close) to double digit rebounds the past two years in the EYBL. There is also a strong possibility that he is not 100% healthy while in Dubai. 

Weaknesses: 
Due to his skinny frame, Rabb can get pushed around down low by stronger defenders. When he has a bigger defender on him, he should be able to use his quickness to his advantage, but is routinely cut off short on his drives. He needs to learn how to start and stay aggressive for an entire game as he sometimes plays more passively than one would like. Rabb also has a soft touch but needs to continue to work on his mid-range and face-up jump shots to make him a consistent scoring threat from outside of the post area. 

Monday, June 19, 2017

A Celtics Surprise: Jonathan Isaac

Last year the Boston Celtics had the third pick in the NBA Draft. Nobody knew exactly what Danny Ainge was planning on doing as the team worked out a plethora of guys including Jamal Murray, Kris Dunn, Buddy Hield, Jaylen Brown, Marquese Chriss, and Dragan Bender.

Kris Dunn was the consensus pick in the mock drafts leading up to the actual selection, but in a mild surprise, the Celtics selected Jaylen Brown, the powerful freshman from California who was sitting at the 8th slot in those same mocks.

This year, after trading away the top pick in the draft to the Philadelphia 76ers, the consensus is that the Celtics will take either Josh Jackson or Jayson Tatum. Jackson is an elite defender with the size and athleticism that Ainge craves, while Tatum is the most skilled player from an offensive standpoint in the draft.

Will the Celtics do what most people expect of them or will they cause another mild draft day surprise?

For me, it won’t come as a surprise if Adam Silver has the following declaration on Thursday night: “With the third pick in the 2017 NBA Draft, the Boston Celtics select Jonathan Isaac from Florida State University.


Full disclosure: I love Jonathan Isaac’s game. Even though I saw him in person the least amount of any 1-and-done prospect, it only took one jump shot in the Lexington EYBL to appreciate his skill-set.

For the Celtics, Amir Johnson’s $12 million dollars comes off the books this year leaving the Celtics with basically Kelly Olynyk as a stretch 4. While Olynyk killed the Wizards in Game 7, this is easily their weakest position.

So why go with Isaac who is 6’11”, but just over 200 pounds, especially considering how Ainge loves players with physical toughness?

OFFENSE:

In his one season at FSU, Isaac averaged 12.0 points and 7.8 rebounds in 26 minutes shooting 51% from the field, 35% from 3, and 78% from the line. Good numbers, but certainly not eye-popping.

While he shot just 35% from the 3-point line, Isaac has such a tight and compact shooting form, that he should have no problem with the extended NBA line and should increase his overall percentage in the years to come. He took 2.8 3PTA’s per game at Florida State where fans got used to watching Isaac’s high arcing shot fall through the net.

Isaac was rarely used in pick and pop scenarios at Florida State, but one would imagine this would soon become a big part of his game at the next level. With the NBA quickly moving away from the true back to the basket big, Isaac will give the Celtics someone who is 6’11” with an NBA ready 3-point stroke at the power forward position.

In ACC play, Isaac finished with the 10th best ORtg per KenPom at 122.1. He also finished in the top 10 in True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate and was top 15 in Fouls Drawn per 40 minutes. Going deeper into his freshman season, Isaac registered 361 possessions where he scored 1.025 points per possession (86th percentile). Almost 47% of his time came in spot-up situations or transition, but surprisingly he was most effective off basket cuts where he registered 1.656 PPP as well as put-backs on short offensive rebounds.

In college, Isaac was rarely in iso situations, which was just like his high school and AAU days:

  • PRO: With the agility and athleticism of a guard, Isaac frequently used his dribble to freeze defenders before utilizing a smooth pull-up jumper.
  • CON: He lacks the required ball-handling skill (i.e. crossover, in and out dribble) to fully beat his defender off the dribble which results in pull-up jumpers and contested drives to the basket.
He also utilizes a jab step to keep defenders off-balance and a quick first step on players who close out to quickly on him.

  • PRO: With his first step, Isaac gets by his defenders’ shoulders in one quick movement.
  • CON: He lacked the necessary strength and explosion to finish at the rim often being forced to double-clutch his contested shot at the rim or have his shot altered.
The creative ball-handling ability will be the toughest thing for Isaac to come by, but the pull-up jumper will be a strong tool to use against slower defenders, while a NBA workout regimen should help Isaac with his strength and explosiveness.

DEFENSE:

On the defensive side, Isaac’s numbers were eye popping. In ACC play, Isaac finished second in the league in defensive rebounding percentage behind only Bonzie Colson as he grabbed 24.9% of his opportunities. Isaac finished third in block %, just ahead of John Collins, and 18th in steal percentage, just ahead of Joel Berry. With good coordination and a 7’1” wing span, Isaac can guard 3’s and 4’s while also offering the alluring potential to switch onto almost any player after a pick and roll.

In ACC play, Isaac matched up with wings, stretch 4’s, and post players. One such player that matched-up with Isaac was Jayson Tatum. Now, these two certainly didn’t match-up on every possession, but Isaac did a good job moving laterally on the perimeter to frustrate Tatum, who shot just 7-17 in the match-up. Tatum made one shot on Isaac and that came from a pick and roll with Isaac being late to recover to the top of the key.

GROWTH:

Isaac certainly has room to grow from a strength stand-point, as well as a skill stand point, but let’s not forget that he was a late bloomer. It wasn’t until after Isaac’s sophomore season (May 2014) when he received his first write-up on Scout.com from Evan Daniels:
“Easily the biggest revelation of the day came from the first game of the day. Isaac, a slight 6-foot-6 wing with lengthy arms, came out firing against the Upward Stars. Isaac, a confident shooter, made three long-range shots, including one from well past the line. Isaac competed on defense, was active the entire game and showed impressive mobility. After his stirring performance Isaac told Scout.com that not one school is recruiting him.”
At this point in time, Tatum and Jackson had firmly supplanted themselves in the discussion for top player in the 2016 class while Isaac was virtually unheard of. It wasn’t until the spring AAU circuit after Isaac’s junior season until he really started to climb the ranks. He entered the spring 2015 AAU season barely ranked in the Top 50 and finished in the Top 10.

Isaac still has room to grow his game and his body and can do so in Boston as their next piece to an ever expanding puzzle. The Celtics are loaded at the guard and wing spots, but are certainly lacking when it comes to front-court talent. As a modern day stretch 4, Isaac would provide positional flexibility on both offense and defense for Brad Stevens with his ability to shoot from the outside while guarding jitter-bug guards to tall and lanky forwards with his 7’1” reach.  

6’11” shooters with athleticism don’t grow on trees. The Boston Celtics have one of the best coaches in the game and a staff that would put Isaac in situations to succeed as he works on his weaknesses (Strength, Ball-Handling, Consistency) and overall skill-set. Jonathan Isaac represents a player that Ainge can continue to mold into the Celtics future. Sure, Jackson or Tatum is the likely pick, but when has Ainge conformed to outside expectations? 

Sunday, December 20, 2015

City of Palms: Day 2

On day number two in Fort Myers, FL, spectators were treated to a full day of action. The City of Palms kicked off with West Linn (OR) redeeming their 39 point day one performance with a 21 point win and concluded with Westerville South (OH), the number 15 ranked team in the country turning in a 14 point win over Michael Porter’s Father Tolton squad. In between, Mike Rice, the former Rutgers coach made his high school debut and Jayson Tatum and Tony Bradley matched-up in a preview of next year’s Tobacco Road rivalry.

3 Stars:

Jayson Tatum, 6’7”, G/F, Chaminade (MO)

It didn’t take long for Jayson Tatum, a consensus top three player in the country to get going. In the first half, Tatum hit five three-pointers turning in one of his finer outside shooting performances. He scored 19 points in the first half and finished with 36 on the night going 10-20 from the floor. The smooth wing attacked the basket and had his Kobe-esque step backs and fade-aways going as well. The Red Devils have been taking on opponents from all over the U.S. so far this season and next-up they will have a match-up with Wheeler (GA) before a pending game with defensive minded Patrick School.


Tony Bradley, 6’10”, C, Bartow (FL)

Bradley’s team was over-matched by Chaminade throughout as Bradley squared off against two twin towers in 6’9” Tyler Cook and 6’10” Will Gladson. Despite the size, Bradley was a beast in the paint and went 14-20 from the floor while recording his sixth double-double of the season with 33 points and 13 rebounds. There wasn’t a player all day that played with the intensity that Bradley did. As the game progressed, Bradley’s energy increased and in the fourth quarter he was a man possessed on the boards and running the floor. Bradley scored on four of his last five shots and used his right-hand hook several times against Cook and Gladson.

Bam Adebayo, 6’8”, PF, High Point Christian Academy (NC)

In a 23 point, nine rebound performance, Adebayo looked like a mini Dwight Howard. With a chiseled physique that is too much for most high schoolers to handle, Adebayo was dominating in the paint and throwing down ferocious dunks all throughout the second half. With an ever evolving offensive game, John Calipari certainly won’t need to teach effort-level next year in Lexington.

Other Notes:

-Mike Rice made his debut for The Patrick School. In a game against Norland (FL), it was only a 6-6 game after one quarter, but then TPS started to make a run behind its guard play of Jordan Walker and Bryce Aiken. TPS uses its length and intensity on defense to shut down Miami bound Dewan Huell, who Rice referred to as a “young LaMarcus Aldridge.

-Tyler Cook missed the first quarter of action for Chaminade, but finished with 12 points. He was impressive early on at the basket and with an elbow jumper. He should make an immediate impact for Iowa.

-Bam Adebayo was definitely not a one-man team for High Point. Ty Graves scored 18 points while going 4-5 from three. He was tough to contain off the dribble although he did finish with six turnovers.

-Westerville South was led by a balanced team effort against Michael and Jontay Porter. Overall, the team shot 8-12 from the three-point line and had six players score in double figures.


-Montverde Academy took it to Spain Park (AL) early, but junior forward Austin Wiley finished with 20 points and 11 rebounds. Freshman R.J. Barrett led the way for Montverde with 16 points.