Wednesday, May 28, 2014

The ACC - Where A 30 Second Shot Clock Can't Come Soon Enough



Atlantic Coast Conference basketball used to be synonymous with words such as “exciting”, “fast-paced”, and “must-see TV”. Not so much anymore. On May 15, the ACC announced that the conference will be the first to experiment with a 30 second shot clock during exhibition games. Commissioner John Swofford said, “Our coaches and ADs both felt it would be an enhancement to the game in today's world. It adds more possessions and potentially would speed up the game.” 

While one can applaud the forward thinking used in this situation it is also necessary to understand why people associated with the ACC would like to “speed up the game.” This past season, the Atlantic Coast Conference was THE slowest paced conference in Division One. Not just the slowest out of the BCS conferences, but out of all 32 D-1 conferences. How could a storied conference once known for its open style of play only average 64.5 possessions per game? Two reasons: Expansion and coaching hires. 

Year200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014
AdjT69.969.469.268.067.969.168.367.767.465.866.064.5


Pre Expansion:
In 2003, the ACC consisted of just nine teams: Clemson, Duke, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Maryland, North Carolina, North Carolina State, Virginia, and Wake Forest. Duke and Maryland were fresh off championship winning runs in 2001 and 2002 and North Carolina was looking to re-establish its powerhouse presence with a top ranked recruiting class of Raymond Felton, Rashad McCants, and Sean May. During 2003 the conference averaged 69.9 possessions per game with seven of the nine teams averaging over 68. Duke led the way with 72.6 possessions per game while Clemson brought up the rear at 65.6.

2004 marked the last year of ACC play before expansion hit and it also marked UNC’s first season with Roy Williams at the helm. Six out of the nine conference schools (70%) made the NCAA tournament and the talented Yellow Jackets made a surprise run to the championship game before losing to the UConn Huskies. The average tempo slightly decreased to 69.4 possessions per game, primarily due to Herb Sendek’s Princeton offense and the Wolfpack’s 63.9 possessions per game. Six out of the nine schools still averaged over 68 possessions with Maryland, UNC, Wake Forest, Virginia, and Georgia Tech all averaging over 70 per game. Conference play was booming with more than 50% of the teams averaging over 75 points per game; however expansion was on the horizon.

Expansion: The Early Years:
Known as a basketball conference, the ACC wanted to increase its presence on the football field. Florida State was the dominant program, but the conference wanted more. Enter Big East football powers Miami and Virginia Tech in 2005 and then Boston College in 2006. The number of schools averaging over 68 possessions per game quickly dropped from 67% to 55% with the new additions. Miami came in at an adjusted tempo of 65.8 and Virginia Tech at 67.2 in 2005. Despite the additions, both Maryland and UNC continued to push the pace with talented rosters. Maryland averaged a league leading 75.5 possessions per game while the national champion Tar Heels averaged 73.9 behind Raymond Felton. As a whole, the ACC still averaged over 69 possessions per game with the conference average coming in at 69.2 for the year.

Boston College entered the fray the following year at a lowly 62.9 possessions per game; however the slow paced Eagles were not even the slowest team in the ACC that year. That honor belonged to Miami who came in at 62.4. The three former Big East schools played at an average pace of 63.3 while the core ACC members played at a pace of 69.6. Quite the difference. This contrast stayed relatively consistent for the next three years as the former Big East schools learned how to slightly pick up the pace. In 2009 the ACC averaged 68.3 possessions per game with North Carolina leading the way at 73.9. At this point in time, the ACC average was second in Division One and just a hair behind the SEC who averaged 68.5 possessions per game. 

Coaching Changes:

2010:
In the new decade, the ACC started to take a turn for the worst when it came to tempo. The three Big East schools actually increased their pace to 67.1 possessions per game in 2010 while the core ACC members saw their tempo decrease to just 67.9 possessions per game. While most schools saw a slight dip due to roster turnover (i.e. UNC and Wake), six out of 12 schools still averaged over 68 possessions per game. What changed? After firing Dave Leitao, the University of Virginia made a surprise hire in Tony Bennett. Known for his Pac-Line D and slow style of play, Virginia’s tempo decreased almost 8% to 63 possessions per game (which also happened to be the highest tempo played in Bennett’s eight year coaching tenure). The ACC finished the year with another championship courtesy of Duke but saw their tempo slip to 67.7 possessions per game.

2011:
In 2011, Oliver Purnell left Clemson for DePaul and Brad Brownell was hired from Wright State. In four years at the Horizon League school, Bronwell’s teams averaged 62.7 possessions per game. Needless to say that Clemson’s tempo dropped sharply with the coaching switch. A 5% decrease led to just 65.3 possessions per game after 69.1 in Purnell’s last year in Death Valley. Similar to Bennett, Brownell’s first year at Clemson also happened to be his fastest paced team in ACC play as the Tiger’s pace declined year over year.  

Boston College hired Steve Donahue from Cornell after letting Al Skinner go and while B.C. was not exactly an up-tempo team, their pace was slowly increasing in the ACC. When the Donahue change occurred, BC’s tempo decreased 3%, hovering at just 64 possessions per game. 

2012:
Further coaching upheaval occurred in 2012 with four schools changing coaches. N.C. State hired Mark Gottfried, Georgia Tech hired Brian Gregory, Maryland hired Mark Turgeon, and Miami hired Jim Larranaga. Only Gottfried’s Wolfpack didn’t see a tempo decrease. Georgia Tech averaged 63.9 possessions per game, a 9% decrease, Maryland averaged 67.5 possessions per game, a 6% decrease, and Miami averaged 64.5 possessions per game, a 2% decrease. In 2012 just two out of 12 teams averaged over 68 possessions per game and the overall ACC tempo was at just 65.8 possessions per game.

The Combination:
This past season marked a new low for the ACC play when it came to tempo. Between the recent coaching hires getting comfortable with their slow down style of play and the addition of three Big East teams known for their bump and grind style the ACC became the slowest conference in America. Overall, the league averaged 64.5 possessions per game (last in the country) and just 61.8 possessions per game in conference play.  

Out of the three schools that began ACC play this year, Notre Dame led the way with 64.1 possessions per game. Pittsburgh averaged 63.5 and Syracuse averaged 61.3 possessions per game.  Also, Virginia, Clemson, and Miami all averaged under 61 possessions per game with Miami coming in at a paltry 58.5 possessions. In 2003 Clemson was the slowest paced team at 65.6, but in 2014 that would have been good enough for seventh in a 15 team league. 
Team
AdjT
North Carolina
70.8
Maryland
69.2
Wake Forest
68.1
Florida St.
66.7
North Carolina St.
66.2
Duke
66.0
Georgia Tech
65.7
Notre Dame
64.1
Virginia Tech
63.6
Pittsburgh
63.5
Boston College
63.0
Syracuse
61.3
Virginia
60.9
Clemson
60.2
Miami FL
58.5

Along with the slow play, it was not exactly a memorable season for the ACC. After much early talk about being the best conference in college basketball only six teams made it into the tournament with none making it past the Sweet 16. How will things look in the future?

Going Forward:
Last season Clemson and Georgia Tech produced a high scoring conference game that was played at a furious pace. The teams combined for 86 points….in a November gridiron battle. This up-tempo game occurred just months before the two schools combined for the same amount of points on the hardwood. A 45-41 Clemson victory was just one of many low scoring games this past season. While possessions and scoring increased in ACC football play, the same cannot be said for basketball.

Sure, ACC play will feature big time games and coaching match-ups with the addition of Louisville and Rick Pitino, but gone are the days of multiple teams averaging over 70 possessions a game. With the majority of conference coaches relying on a more grind it out, methodical type approach, the ACC will continue to lag behind its counterparts when it comes to tempo. The ACC and Commissioner Swofford are looking towards the future with the unveiling of a 30 second shot clock in exhibition games; however the full time adoption can’t come soon enough.

All date from kenpom.com 

Friday, May 23, 2014

EYBL: Minnesota Preview



The EYBL regular season comes to an end this Memorial Day weekend in Minneapolis after three straight weeks of intense action. Many players have boosted their stock over the past month in games all over the country and now there is just one session left for teams to secure a spot in the famed Peach Jam in July.

Top Games:

New Jersey Playaz vs. Athlete’s First (Monday, 8AM CST)
Isaiah Briscoe
In one of the last regular season games we have two well tenured EYBL veterans facing off in Isaiah Briscoe and Allonzo Trier. The 6’3” Briscoe is averaging 17.8 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game. Meanwhile, the 6’4” Trier is leading the EYBL in scoring at 28.5 points per game and surpassed the 30 point mark in all four Hampton games. While these two guards have stepped up their games from an already high level last year they have also made an impact record wise. Both teams did not make the Peach Jam last year; however the Playaz are currently in first place in Division C with a 10-2 record while Athlete’s First sits just one game back at 9-3.

All Ohio Red vs. Spiece Indy Heat (Saturday, 12pm CST)
Two Midwest teams face off Saturday afternoon. All Ohio Red is 8-3 and an extremely well-balanced team with scoring threats at every position. Jalen Coleman leads the way scoring-wise with 14.3 points per game, while up and comer Esa Ahmad is right behind him at 13.5. While this team is tough, they are not necessarily the largest which could be a problem against Spiece Indy. The Heat feature big man Caleb Swanigan, who leads the EYBL in rebounding at 11.2 boards per game, but also manages 18.2 points as well. The space eater down low recently re-classified to the class of 2015 and has seen the interest in his recruitment skyrocket. Alongside Swanigan, is Tom Izzo’s gem in Deyonta Davis. An under-ranked prospect coming into the EYBL, the 6’9” Davis has shown off his versatility in every location. The future Spartan is averaging 16.6 points and 7.8 rebounds per game. 

Team Penny vs. Oakland Soldiers (Saturday, 7:30pm CST)
In a Division B battle, Team Penny and the Lawson brothers go against Ivan Rabb and Stephen Zimmerman of the Soldiers. Team Penny is 9-3 while the Soldiers are 7-4. The Lawson twins lead the way for the Memphis based AAU squad; however future Florida Gator Kevaughn Allen adds in 14.6 points per game and freshman PJ Washington averages 8.4 points and 4.9 boards per game. Team Penny will certainly have their hands full with the 6’11” Rabb who is averaging a double-double with 15.8 points and 10.7 rebounds per game while shooting a remarkable 63% from the floor. Along with Rabb, the 6’11” Zimmerman will try to get it going in Minneapolis after a rather quiet first three EYBL sessions.

Keep An Eye On… 

1. Superstars Going Home
The Peach Jam could end up devoid of some serious star power due to lackluster records from teams with five-star players. Combo guard Malik Newman’s Jackson Tigers sit at 5-7 while Jayson Tatum’s St. Louis Eagles are just 3-9. Versatile forward has been fantastic in his first EYBL experience, but his run might be over after this weekend. Luke Kennard and Charles Matthews will most likely be out, along with freshman sensation Cody Riley

2. Albany City Rocks
Albany City could sneak their way into the Peach Jam this year. They currently sit at 5-7 in Division D, just one game back of that fourth place spot.  The leading scorer is 6’7” Maverick Rowan while point guard Sterling Taplin and forward Tyler Lydon also average double-figures. Albany City isn’t used to playing in July, but if they make their way into an at-large spot they could easily win a few games similar to The Traveler’s last year.

3. The No. 1 Spot
Last year Jahlil Okafor was the consensus No. 1 player in the country; however this year there are four players strongly in the mix with three of them playing in the EYBL. Malik Newman is back to his high scoring ways with 31 points or more in three out of four Hampton games. Ivan Rabb is putting up a double-double, and forward Ben Simmons has shown off an improved offensive game to go along with his versatile style of play. While Simmons will not be present in Minnesota, will Newman or Rabb separate from the pack this weekend?
*Diamond Stone plays on the Under Armour circuit and is the other player in contention for No. 1.

4. DJ Hogg’s Shooting
The 6’7” Texas Titans forward has been a three point marksman in his second EYBL stint. In three sessions he has launched 85 three’s, but has also hit on 41% of them. Hogg has made at least one three in each game while hitting five three’s several times. The Titans are 9-3 and tied with Wings Elite in Division D and will need a few more strong shooting games from Hogg to stay on top.

Thursday, May 15, 2014

EYBL Hampton Preview



The third EYBL session tips off Saturday morning at the Boo Williams Complex in Hampton, VA. With the Nike AAU season half way over it’s time for teams to position themselves for the Peach Jam in July.

Games to Watch:

1) CP3 vs. Cal Supreme (Saturday, 9:30am)
What’s so special about a 1-6 CP3 team going against a 3-5 Cal Supreme team? The return of sophomore forward Harry Giles. One of the top prospects in the class of 2015 will play his first game since tearing his ACL last June. While there is sure to be some rust, you won’t find Cal Supreme taking it easy. Two games out of fourth place, the young but talented team featuring guards Devearl Ramsey and Aaron Holiday will look to start their east coast journey on a strong note. Along with Cal’s explosive guards, forward Benny Boatwright will look to get back on track.


2) Oakland Soldiers vs. Playground Elite (Sunday, 12:30pm)
Ivan Rabb, the top player in the country will look to improve on his double-double average against Henry Ellenson, one of the top performers of the Dallas EYBL. The 6’11” Rabb is not only averaging 16.9 points and 10.9 rebounds per game, but he is also shooting 66% from the field. On the other side is Ellenson, a versatile big man from Rice Lake, WI who went for 18 points and 12 rebounds against Mac Irvin and 25 points against Cal Supreme. Oh yeah, five-star center Stephen Zimmerman will also be on the court. While Zimmerman is still trying to find his niche in the Soldiers offense, he did put together an 11 point, nine rebound performance in his last game against Spiece Indy. Is this the weekend that Zimmerman plays up to his lofty status?

3) NY Lightning vs. Team Final (Saturday, 9:30am)
The top two teams in Division A kick off at Boo Williams bright and early Saturday morning. Team Final is tied with Team Penny for the best EYBL record while the NY Lightning are 5-3. In a Philly vs. NYC battle, we have a guard dominated Team Final team versus 6’10” monster Jessie Govan. Fresh off a commitment to Georgetown, Govan is averaging 15.6 points and 6.8 rebounds per game. As for Team Final, 6’4” guard Levan Alston is leading the team in scoring at 16.9 per game; however he is also the leading rebounder at just 3.9 boards per game. Syracuse commit Malachi Richardson and Villanova commit Donte Divincenzo also lead the way for Team Final.

Storylines:

·         Junior forward Ben Simmons is making a strong claim for the No. 1 spot in 2015. In two EYBL sessions he is averaging 19.4 points and 6.1 rebounds per game. 

·         The previous No. 1 player in the class of 2015, Malik Newman returned to the EYBL after playing in the Under Armour circuit during the spring live period. The leading scorer in 2013 averaged 19.8 points per game in Dallas, but only shot 38% from the field and just 24% from three.

·         Current No. 1, Ivan Rabb will take unofficial visits to UNC and Georgetown with his mom and high school coach after he finishes play in Hampton.

·         Some of the top talent in the 2016 class will face off Saturday at 11am. 6’7” Jayson Tatum of the St. Louis Eagles goes against explosive guard Malik Monk who is second in the EYBL with 24.5 points per game.

·         Junior Allonzo Trier is the leading scorer with 26.6 points per game. The 6’4” guard saw his scoring average decrease slightly after Sacramento, but Athlete’s First is still 6-2. 

·         Two of the top freshmen in the EYBL will be on the same court Saturday morning when 6’8” PJ Washington takes the court against Jatrious Smith. Washington plays for Team Penny and scored in double figures his last three games while Smith is averaging around six points per game. 

·         Boo Williams is the home team and currently sits with a 6-2 record after going 3-1 in both sessions. Shooting guard Kenny Williams has made 28 three’s at a 48% clip while Edrice Adebayo is averaging 7.5 rebounds.

·         Will Veer Singh make his debut for the NY Lightning?

·         Levan Alston is making a ridiculous 60% of his three’s. In Dallas he went 7-11 against Texas Elite. Meanwhile combo forward D.J. Hogg went 17-32 from three in his hometown.

·         The leading rebounder in the EYBL, Caleb Swanigan will play his first tournament as a class of 2015 prospect after recently re-classifying.