Friday, May 13, 2016

Pre Combine Mock Draft Comparison

The NBA Draft is more than a month away, but with Mock Draft websites changing everyday it's time to compare the rankings of two well-established websites, DraftExpress and NBADraft.net prior to the NBA Combine in Chicago. A lot of changes will occur over the next month, but as of right now there is a large discrepancy in draft pick opinions.

Starting with the No. 1 pick, DraftExpress has Brandon Ingram atop their board while Ben Simmons has been holding steady in the top spot for NBADraft.net. For the record, sportsbook.ag has Simmons as a -225 favorite to become the No. 1 pick. 

The top 10 picks are all relatively clustered together with Dragan Bender, Kris Dunn, Jamal Murray, Buddy Hield, and Jaylen Brown all taking top spots. Where a difference starts to initially occur is with the No. 8 and No.9 selections. NBADraft.net has former Gonzaga big man Domantas Sabonis going No. 8, while DX has him going at 18. Vice versa for Henry Ellenson who DX has No. 9 and NBA Draft.net has 17.

Once you start moving out of the lottery, there is a wide discrepancy on players. DX has a higher opinion on American players such as Demetrius Jackson and Wade Baldwin, while NBA Draft.net is much higher on Dejounte Murray, Malik Beasley, Brice Johnson, and Malachi Richardson.

Another stark contrast compares when projecting the draft spot of international players. Dragan Bender and Furkan Korkmaz are slotted relatively in the same range, but it is obvious that DX thinks much more highly of the international prospects than NBADraft.net. Timothy Luwawu, the French swingman is a projected lottery pick per DX, but is only slotted in the late first per NBADraft.net. Also, players such as Ivica Zubacand, Petr Cornelle are projected first rounders per DX and not even listed on NBADraft.net. Finally, Chinese big man Zhou Qi sits at No. 28 in the DX first round.

Overall, the opinions between the two mock draft websites have a large variance. Once the lottery order is set and teams start hosting players for workouts the discrepancies will start to narrow.




NameDXDraft.netDiff.
Brandon Ingram12-1
Ben Simmons211
Dragan Bender330
Kris Dunn46-2
Jaylen Brown57-2
Jamal Murray651
Buddy Hield743
Jakob Poetl89-1
Henry Ellenson917-8
Skal Labissiere1012-2
Deyonta Davis11110
Marquese Chriss12102
Timothe Luwawu1325-12
Demetrius Jackson1435-21
Wade Baldwin1537-22
Denzel Valentine16160
Furkan Korkmaz17134
Domantas Sabonis18810
Tyler Ulis1933-14
Ivica Zubac2061-41
Taurean Prince2122-1
Damian James2226-4
Ante Zizic2345-22
Malik Beasley241410
Pat McCaw25241
Juan Hernandez2655-29
Petr Cornelle2761-34
Zhou Qi2846-18
DeAndre Bembry29272
Brice Johnson301812
Dejounte Murray311516
Chieck Diallo32239
Diamond Stone332112
Guerschon Yabusele34295
Stephen Zimmerman352015
Thon Maker392811
Caris Levert433013
Malachi Richardson531934

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