Thursday, April 16, 2015

NBA Season Win Totals

The 2014-15 NBA regular season came to a thrilling end on Wednesday night. While there were numerous games with playoff and seeding implication, there were also games that were very important to gamblers betting on NBA season win totals as the Clippers and Raptors totals were all in play. The Golden State Warriors and Atlanta Hawks easily clinched the top seeds in their respective conferences and the two teams also happened to significantly exceed their projected season win total shown below.

*All lines based on the 10/10 Bovada line. 

TeamBovadaActualDiff.O / U
Atlanta Hawks41.56018.5O
Milwaukee Bucks244117O
Golden State Warriors51.56715.5O
Boston Celtics26.54013.5O
Utah Jazz24.53813.5O
Houston Rockets49.5566.5O
Memphis Grizzlies49556O
Indiana Pacers33385O
New Orleans Pelicans43452O
Portland Trail Blazers49512O
Philadelphia 76ers16.5181.5O
Los Angeles Clippers55.5560.5O
Toronto Raptors48.5490.5O
Sacramento Kings29.529-0.5U
Dallas Mavericks5049-1U
San Antonio Spurs5755-2U
Orlando Magic27.525-2.5U
Detroit Pistons35.532-3.5U
Brooklyn Nets41.538-3.5U
Washington Wizards49.546-3.5U
Chicago Bulls54.550-4.5U
Cleveland Cavaliers58.553-5.5U
Phoenix Suns44.539-5.5U
Miami Heat4437-7U
Minnesota T-Wolves26.516-10.5U
Denver Nuggets41.530-11.5U
Los Angeles Lakers32.521-11.5U
Charlotte Hornets4533-12U
Oklahoma City Thunder57.545-12.5U
New York Knicks4117-24U

The Overs: 

13 NBA teams hit the “over” and beat the line set by Vegas. While the Hawks crushed their total by 18.5 games, it was the Milwaukee Bucks who had the easiest time with their season win total. After winning just 15 games a year ago, the Bucks were only projected to win 24 games. They eclipsed that mark on January 31 with a win against Portland to go 25-22. The Celtics beat their total by 13.5 games mainly due to the superb coaching of Brad Stevens and even the Sixers toppled their 16.5 win projection with 18. Both the Clippers and Raptors were fairly highly touted in the pre-season, but it took until the last game of the season for both of these teams to pass their win total of 55.5 and 48.5 games, respectively. The Clippers won their last seven games all of which they needed to hit the over.

The Unders: 

A whopping 17 teams went “under” the Vegas line which is actually less than the prior season when 18 teams went under led by the Bucks who finished 13.5 games under their projected total. This year’s big winner or should I say loser is to no one’s surprise the New York Knicks. With Melo returning, the Knicks had their win total set at 41 games. They only won 17 on the season and finished just 24 games off the line. Other big losers included the Thunder who were bitten by the injury bug all year and the Hornets who never meshed with Lance Stephenson after a playoff run last year. The Nuggets went under the total by 10.5 games last year and this year wasn’t much different going under by 11.5. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Cavs were projected as the top regular season team in the NBA with 58.5 wins, but they fell short winning 53.

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